Bam Adebayo randomly receiving in the inability to rebound might have hurt yesterday’s parlay play, but James Harden is among those who are going to help us cash some NBA props. Today, we begin our top NBA prop pick by looking at our bearded friend.
If you’re looking for today’s best NBA parlay picks, we already have you covered.
Now it’s time for a focus on a James Harden prop that might seem counterintuitive in our top NBA prop picks today column. Need more action? Check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos.
NBA Prop Pick Today: James Harden Prop
James Harden o15.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
In the 27 minutes my video has been published on YouTube, it took all of 9 minutes for someone to comment and tell me how James Harden has only cashed the over on 15.5 points ONCE in his last eight games.
To that guy: Thanks, pal. I had no clue. You’re a gentleman, and a scholar.
Also … I don’t care.
Do Harden’s game logs look like crap lately in the points department? Honestly … they kinda do.
Do I care about that? I really don’t.
Harden is basically a 40% 3-point shooter this season, and if we look at his recent shooting performances, we can see he’s shooting at a clip DRASTICALLY below his baseline performance.
If we take those eight games our YouTube pal mentioned, Harden is shooting 3s at 28%. Do we believe that is going to be his new norm? No.
As I mentioned earlier, the player prop market is a lot like the stock market in some ways. These lines fluctuate, and sometimes the dips can dip too low. This is a spot where the dip has likely dipped too low based on recent performance.
In fact, Pinnacle Sportsbook actually has Harden’s points prop juiced HEAVILY to the over at -149, which basically means it’s getting ready to be bumped to the 16.5 mark at about -105 at any moment now.
If you don’t trust me, trust the sharpest sportsbook in the world.
Final NBA Pro Picks Today: James Harden Prop
NBA Prop Pick: James Harden o15.5 Points
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