The Detroit Pistons have cycled through a number of starters this year. They will likely keep changing their lineup against the Detroit Pistons tonight. With Jaden Ivey out, Killian Hayes will have a much larger role. Those looking for an NBA Pacers-Pistons player prop should tail the prediction below — DraftKings has left too much value on the Killian Hayes player prop markets. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Pacers-Pistons NBA Player Prop | Killian Hayes
Killian Hayes O/U 7.5 Assists
Few teams have had to improvise as much as the Pistons this year. The team entered the season with play-in hopes that were quickly dashed once Cade Cunningham went down. After struggling early, the team added another early-pick castoff, James Wiseman, at the trade deadline. Although Wiseman will play tonight, Bojan Bogdanovic, Jaden Ivey, Alec Burks, Marvin Bagley III, Isaiah Stewart and Hamidou Diallo are all out, so Detroit has few bodies left.
But the Pistons still have to play a 48-minute basketball game tonight. If recent games are any indication, head coach Dwane Casey will ask Killian Hayes to play a hefty load of minutes at point guard. Hayes played a whopping 37 minutes when Ivey sat out on Saturday and racked up a whopping 13 assists against the Pacers, bringing his average up to 8.3 assists per game without Ivey. However, eliminating the one game Hayes played without Ivey but with Cunningham brings that number to 9.2. Hayes has recorded at least eight assists in all but one of those five games.
Tonight’s matchup against the Pacers is a relatively easy one for Hayes. While Indiana should win — they are in the play-in race and are 3.5-point favorites, after all — they have also given up the most shots in the restricted area per game (22.3) through the last seven contests. That corresponds with them allowing the ninth-most assists per game to point guards (9.7) and playing at the ninth-fastest pace. Hayes should find plenty of players open down low and rack up assists.
Of course, the books are stacking the juice on the over. But DraftKings Sportsbook has the total for Hayes’ assists prop set to 7.5, while FanDuel Sportsbook has it at 8.5. Both books have the juice favoring the over. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the total set to 7.5 but the over priced at a brutal -188. The over costs only -165 at DraftKings, so bettors should head there for the best price. Readers yet to register at DraftKings can score $150 in bonus bets after winning a $5 moneyline wager!
Best Pacers-Pistons Player Prop: Killian Hayes Over 7.5 Assists (-165 for 0.75 Unit) at DraftKings
