In an action-packed Saturday of sports, the seven-game NBA slate provides bettors with plenty of opportunity, especially with a few player props. Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro has many prop plays projected with high value, with one LaMelo Ball prop standing out.
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Best NBA Player Props | Jan. 14
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LaMelo Ball Under 5.5 Rebounds (-110)
The top NBA Bet Pro bet for the slate of later games is on the under 5.5 rebounds for LaMelo Ball. NBA Bet Pro models project a 57% chance of Ball hauling in less than six rebounds, with an EV of 10%. It’s the highest EV of any player prop in the Celtics-Hornets matchup.
Ball’s length gives him better-rebounding numbers than many of his counterparts around the NBA, but he’s been consistently coming below the 5.5 throughout the season. Ball has averaged 5.3 rebounds per game this year, but has not had more than four in his last five games.
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Desmond Bane Under 0.5 Steals (+190)
This Desmond Bane prop offers more of a value opportunity, with NBA Bet Pro having the wager at just a 39% chance of hitting. However, the juicy odds listed translate to an EV of 14% on this prop — the highest of any player prop on the board Saturday.
Desmond Bane has been a pest on defense throughout his career, and that has continued this year. But his steals numbers are down a bit. After averaging over a steal per game last season, Bane currently averages just 0.7, and has not recorded a steal in three of his last six games.
Although the odds are against Bane coming up empty in the steal department again Saturday, NBA Bet Pro sees some good value in placing a small wager on the play.
Andrew Nembhard Under 13.5 points (-115)
The Indiana Pacers seemingly found a diamond in the rough in Andrew Nembhard. After being drafted in the second round of last year’s draft, the rookie has grown immensely over the first half of the season, carving out a role for himself in the Pacers rotation. However, NBA Bet Pro is projecting a good opportunity for bettors to fade Nembhard against the Memphis Grizzlies Saturday. The models project Nembhard at 11.1 points, giving the under 13.5 a 58% chance of hitting and a 9% expected value.
Nembhard has played over 30 minutes in the Pacers last five games, but he has gotten a little cold of late, shooting just 2-16 for six points from the field in the loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Friday night.
If you’re looking to get in on any of these NBA player props, be sure to use our OddsShopper tools to find the best prices!
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