If you’re looking for the best +EV NBA free bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by Portfolio EV’s market-based betting approach. If you want to learn more about the science behind Portfolio EV, click this link to check out our extensive rundown.
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NBA Free Bets: +EV Picks for Tuesday, February 25
Bucks @ Rockets
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (-104) at BetRivers
- This prop has an EV of +2.1%.
- The rest of the betting market is -120 or higher on this prop.
- The historical ROI on this prop is 4%.
- He is returning to his normal minutes played
- Without Bobby Portis playing alongside, his production levels increase – especially in the rebounding department.
Fred VanVleet Over 2.5 3pts (-103) at BetRivers
- This prop has an EV of +3.1%.
- The historical ROI of this prop is 9.0%.
- 56% of VanVleet’s shot attempts come from beyond the arc.
- Milwaukee is allowing the 23rd-most attempts from three-point land.
Jalen Green Under 4.5 Assists (-150) at BetMGM
- This prop has an EV of +1.6%.
- The historical ROI on this prop bet is 11.6%!
- Sharper sportsbooks are listing this bet at -164 or worse.
- Green has a lower assist rate of 14.6% this season.
Suns @ Grizzlies
Ja Morant Over 7.5 Assists (+110) at FanDuel
- This prop has an EV of +2.0%.
- The rest of the betting market is making you lay a price on this wager.
- Morant has an assist rate of 36.2% this season.
- Morant is averaging 12.6 potential assists per game, too.
Hornets @ Warriors
Nick Smith Jr. Under 14.5 Points (-125) at Hard Rock Bet
- This prop has an EV of +2.7%, and the true odds are -133.
- Other sportsbooks are listing this prop at 13.5.
- He’s averaging 8.5 points per game this season, but in the month of February it’s increased to 15.5.
- That has caused his points prop to become a bit inflated due to those recent performances.
- It’s going to be a tougher matchup for him going against a Warriors defense that ranks 9th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed.
Final Thoughts
Our NBA bets today offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones on a daily basis, make sure you sign up for our 7-day free trial, where you can access dozens of +EV wagers every single day.
