We’re coming off a banger Wednesday where we swept our props and cashed another NBA parlay. Sadly, the only parlay we missed this week was our Tuesday Warriors-Kings same-game parlay. We’re going to look to bounce back from that ridiculous game and target a Pacers-Heat same-game parlay bet for +715 over on bet365.
NBA Pacers-Heat Same-Game Parlay Picks Today (+715 Odds)
Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
This was one of the first bets I fired up today, and I even included it in my Thursday NBA Parlay Picks article (go check that out for a +730 banger … we have hit two of our last three!).
As I wrote in the other article, this number just felt too low to me. We’ve seen Tyrese Haliburton have assist props north of 12 recently, so the 10.5 felt like something we should jump on.
The OddsShopper Prop Tool was grading this with over a 54% expected win rate as well, so we’re being backed by science. Love that.
Bam Adebayo Over Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
If you’ve been following the picks I make, you know a large portion of them come with the help of the OddsShopper Prop Tool, and it’s been white hot lately (4-o run and 5-1 this week on my NBA props).
One prop our projections love is the Bam Adebayo double-double prop, but it’s juiced so hard it’s hard to get value. But with his rebound number sitting at 10.5, we can grab that number and be happy about it.
OddsShopper projections have the over hitting almost 55% of the time, which is probably getting a nice bump from the pace at which the Pacers are going to try to play at. And that will lead us into the next pick …
Bam Adebayo Over 23.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
This is an incredibly fair line the markets have set for Adebayo’s points. In fact, he’s only gone over 23.5 points six times this season, so they’ve really done their homework.
However, with Jimmy Butler still being a bit dinged up even if he plays tonight, the Heat are going to have to rely on Adebayo to score the basketball. With no Butler on Tuesday, Adebayo shot a season-high 27 times.
There’s a chance we get NO Butler tonight as well. I doubt it, but it’s possible.
We know the Pacers really try to speed everyone up, while the Heat try to slow everyone down. So a lot of this will rely on who dictates the pace, but even if it’s a more Heat-style of play, Adebayo can eclipse 23.5.
I mean, I don’t really trust Myles Turner to go all Hakeem on him. If there’s a bit of a dangerous leg, it’s this one, but we’re projecting it to win 51% to 52% of the time.
Bruce Brown Over 7.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
There isn’t much to this final leg. Bruce Brown has been getting PLENTY of run and should continue to get his usual 32 minutes or so.
Being out there for that many minutes, and given his style of play, Brown should easily cash the over on the alternate line of 7.5 points.
He’s gone over 7.5 points in nine straight games and has been getting right around 10 shots per game. We will fire this one up with confidence to sweeten this parlay up to +715 with that 30% boost!
Final NBA Pacers-Heat Same-Game Parlay Picks Today
Leg 1: Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: Bam Adebayo Over 23.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 3: Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 4: Bruce Brown Over 7.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
= +715 at bet365 Sportsbook w/ 30% Boost
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