There are five NBA games on the bill for Saturday night. The Magic-Warriors matchup is popping with great value plays on No House Advantage. Wendell Carter Jr. and Jordan Poole stand out on traditional NBA prop betting markets, but two other Magic-Warriors players look good on NHA.
No House Advantage sets lines in advance which creates great opportunities to find NBA prop bets with strong chances of hitting. Our custom NHA projections collate the best plays in NHA’s “Vs. the House” and “Pick Em” formats. Let’s analyze our NBA NHA Projections to find the top NBA player prop plays for tonight’s “Pick ‘Em” GPP style format. If you’re also planning on playing “Vs. the House” you’ll find the best plays listed in our projections as well.
NBA Prop Bets: No House Advantage NBA Props
Jalen Suggs Under 19.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists
The Orlando Magic are a young team on the rise. They have several young players with star potential, including this year’s top draft pick, Paolo Banchero. Between Banchero, Franz Wagner and Wendell Carter Jr., the Magic are developing a formidable lineup. One player missing has been Jalen Suggs, who they took fifth overall last year. Suggs has the same upside as any member of Orlando’s young core, but he is currently suffering through injury issues. Those injuries have limited his minutes, and could put a serious damper on his upside on Saturday.
Before Orlando’s contest against the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday, the team announced that Suggs would be available. Suggs didn’t start the game, but he entered in the first quarter and played just under six minutes. He did not re-enter the game, and his status in Orlando’s rotation remains murky. While it’s obvious that Suggs is still hurt, it is unclear if he will see usage this Saturday against Golden State. If the young wing does play, he is unlikely to see significant minutes.
This line of 19.5 points, rebounds and assists is way too high for a player on a limited workload and in a rotation with other ball-dominant wings. Suggs averaged 11.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists in 27 minutes per game a season ago. Those numbers would be good enough to play on this prop bet. Now, if Suggs does play, he should see far less time on the court. Our NHA custom projections have this number at 9.7, which makes this play the best of the night, and its 99% expected win rate is as good as it gets.
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Donte DiVincenzo Under 27.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists
At first glance, Donte DiVencenzo‘s 27.5 combo prop looks fair for a guy who plays around thirty minutes. The issue is that this line on No House Advantage is based upon Golden State’s rotation without Andrew Wiggins. Wiggins has missed the last fifteen games with an abductor injury. His absence was then extended by a non-COVID illness. There’s a chance that Wiggins could return tonight.
DiVencenzo has held down the fort admirably in Wiggins’ absence, but when the veteran wing returns, it will certainly eat into his playing time. When the two are on the court together, DiVencenzo’s usage and opportunity to score, rebound and dish out the basketball will drop as well.
This play remains a sharp bet even if Wiggins sits. DiVencenzo has not scored in double digits in Golden State’s last three games. His peripheral statistics have been trending downward as well. He has not gone over 27.5 points, rebounds and assists since Dec. 16.
Our NHA projections have DiVencenzo at 18.4 points, rebounds and assists, which gives the under a 98% chance of winning. That’s a must-play in Pick ‘Em contests. Monitor the news to see more about Wiggins’ status before tip-off, although this play should hit regardless.
Jalen Suggs Under 11.5 Points and Under 3.5 Rebounds
You can head right back to the well for Jalen Suggs unders on NHA this Saturday. Suggs is projected for 5.8 points and 1.8 rebounds, which makes these the fourth- and seventh-ranked plays in NHA Pick ‘Em contests.
The points prop has an expected win rate of 96.1%, while the rebound prop has one of 90.3% rate. The rationale here is exactly as it was before: Suggs is getting overvalued on NHA, making this a prime spot to take advantage of across the board.
NHA players can find even more great plays in our projections, so be sure to check them out as you complete your entire NHA card for Saturday night.
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