While everyone else is sharpening their parlay swords for the NFL Championship Games, we’re sneaking our way into a killer NBA parlay. OddsShopper’s Parlay Builder has found us a three-leg play using games from the later NBA window, so let’s not waste time; here are our top NBA parlay picks for today, Sunday, Jan. 28, starting with a prop pick on Scottie Barnes.
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NBA Parlay Picks Today: +510 Bet for Sunday
Scottie Barnes Under 25.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Look, the circumstances seem right for a Barnes blowup; Immanuel Quickley is out, RJ Barrett is unlikely to play and the Raptors are 7.5-point underdogs. To put it mildly, they will need Barnes to score.
But consider this: Not much about Barnes’ scoring volume has changed since the Raptors traded Pascal Siakam. His scoring average has jumped up marginally to just 21.0 per game in his time as the clear lead dog on offense (small sample, but still), and only one of those five games saw him score more than 25.
Quickley was out last game and Barnes finished with only 23. Now, Barrett played that game, and maybe going without both him and Quickley will boost Barnes enough to get him over the 25.5 number.
But Barnes’ value is all-around game, not necessarily scoring. Will he factor more into this matchup without Barrett and Quickley? Yes. Does that mean he will score 26-plus? Not necessarily.
OddsShopper has this under as a 2% EV addition to the NBA parlay, with Barnes projected to stay below 25.5 52% of the time.
Devin Booker Under 6.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
Lines are up across the board for Booker today, and the models are loving a lot of unders on him. The assists play has the most value for this parlay, however.
Bradley Beal and Kevin Durant are both expected to play, and that inherently creates ball-handling issues for Booker’s over. For reference, all three stars ran together in each of the last five games, and Booker only dished seven-plus assists in one of those.
His season average demolishes this line (7.4 per game), but so many of those games have come with Beal on the bench. With the full Big 3 on board, 6.5 simply seems too lofty.
This first entry is getting a nice 53% win expectancy to keep our NBA parlay going with a 2% EV bet.
Nikola Vucevic Under 12.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Yes, we’re going all unders today. I know what you’re thinking: Betting against players is no one’s favorite pastime. But here at OddsShopper our favorite pastime is making you money, no matter the route we have to take. Unders are the way to get there. If you want an in-depth explanation as to why that is, check out our friend Dave “Loughy” Loughran’s breakdown here.
As for this play individually, Vucevic is riding somewhat of a hot streak in the rebounding department, as he is averaging 11.5 over his last 10 games. However, that has only amounted to four overs on 12.5 rebounds, and those include a couple games where he played 37-plus minutes.
It’s a decent matchup since the Trail Blazers are a bottom-third rebounding team in the NBA over the last 15 games and they are a modest pace up, but also keep in mind that the Bulls are 7-point road favorites. That could spell blowout — especially with Shaedon Sharpe out for Portland and Scoot Henderson, Anfernee Simons, Jerami Grant and Malcolm Brogdon questionable.
Vucevic will probably need to get mid- to upper-30s minutes to reach 13 rebounds, and this seems less likely. As such, he projects for 11.7 rebounds, and the under on 12.5 has a 56% chance of hitting, per OddsShopper.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Put all three legs together and we have a 3% EV parlay with a 15% chance of winning.
Leg 1: Devin Booker Under 6.5 Assists (-110)
Leg 2: Scottie Barnes Under 25.5 Points (-105)
Leg 3: Nikola Vucevic Under 12.5 Rebounds (-130)
= +559 odds at BetMGM
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