BANG! We’re back, my friends! We cashed our NBA parlay picks from Wednesday IN SPITE of it being blowout central in Mavs-Wizards and Bucks-Raptors! I told you we were going to smash that revenge parlay, and I didn’t let you down! We’re heat-checking with our NBA parlay picks today, so ride with me on this 5-leg banger I cooked up over at Bet365.
NBA Parlay Picks Today: 5-Leg +674 Parlay Thursday
Bam Adebayo o3.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
This Bam Adebayo prop was POPPING in the OddsShopper Prop Tool this morning, so we had to jam it in our NBA parlay today.
We’re going with Bam over 3.5 assists in this matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. He’s cleared 3.5 assists in 3 straight games, and 4 of his last 5. Clearly, he’s seen a bump in usage with Tyler Herro out nursing his sprained ankle.
The OddsShopper Prop Tool has this with a 56% expected win rate, so I’m firing it up with confidence.
Duncan Robinson o9.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
I generally don’t bet on dudes who have such punchable faces, but I’m willing to make an exception tonight — mostly because it’s a two-game slate, but whatever. Let’s ride with Duncan Robinson OVER 9.5 points.
Robinson has seen his role increase as well with Herro out. In the 3 games without Herro, Robinson has seen right around 15 shots per game, and 27 of those have been 3-pointers.
For a guy we know can get white-hot from beyond the arc, he could cash this prop by making a handful of 3-pointers alone. He’s obviously getting more work sans Herro, so let’s hope he’s got the stroke working tonight — and a few of those come on passes from Bam. That wouldn’t hurt either.
Mikal Bridges u31.5 PRA (NBA Player Prop)
Sometimes you have to short players, especially when a guy like Spencer Dinwiddie comes back to hoard the rock. I can’t believe I’m talking about Dinwiddie stealing looks from guys, but, god knows, he did it in Dallas to Luka Doncic, so he’s damn sure going to do it to Mikal Bridges.
This game against the Heat tonight will likely be slower in pace, as they rank 17th and 18th in the league in terms of pace of play. We know the Heat don’t want to get up and down a ton. They’d rather grind it out more in the half court. That will likely lead to less possessions, and fewer chances for the goods for Bridges.
He’s gone under 31.5 PRA in 5 of his last 7 games, and the only way he really hits the over is if he’s cooking offensively and scoring in droves. With the Heat having a slower pace and being Top 10 in defensive rating, I think we can ride the UNDER here for our NBA parlay.
Andrew Wiggins o10.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
So, the Warriors are going to be without Steph Curry and Draymond Green tonight — for vastly different reasons. Not that Draymond is an offensive weapon, but it still begs the question: “Where does the offense come from?”
Most of it will likely fall on the shoulders of Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins, so we need to take advantage of that. Bet365 was offering an alternate number on Wiggins’ points prop, so let’s fire up the over on 10.5 points.
According to the OddsShopper Prop Tool, Wiggins is expected to go over his normal point prop of 14.5 points about 55% of the time, so we’re tilting the odds even more in our favor with this 10.5 number.
Thunder Moneyline vs Warriors (NBA Pick & Prediction)
For our final NBA parlay pick today, we’re taking the Thunder on the moneyline.
As we know, the Warriors are without Steph and Draymond, and for some reason, we’re getting immense value on the OKC moneyline at only -140 on Bet365.
I don’t see a fully healthy Thunder team falling to a Warriors team without its superstar scorer and best defender. Thunder moneyline. Fire it up.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Bam Adebayo o3.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: Duncan Robinson o9.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 3: Mikal Bridges u31.5 PRA (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 4: Andrew Wiggins o10.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 5: Thunder Moneyline (NBA Pick & Prediction)
= +674 at Bet365
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