New year, new us. That’s the mantra, my friends. We’ve all gotten the gym memberships, written down our weight loss goals, said we’re going to read one book a month … all of the typical New Year’s resolutions. And above all, you wrote down that you’re going to read every article I write, and we’re going to win every NBA parlay for the rest of the year! It all starts with our three NBA parlay picks today over at FanDuel Sportsbook.
NBA Parlay Picks Today: +481 Parlay Tuesday
C.J. McCollum Over 23.5 Points + Assists (NBA Player Prop)
The journey begins with a combo prop for C.J. McCollum: Over 23.5 points + assists.
McCollum has cashed this combo prop in back-to-back games, going for 28 and 31 in those two. This has been helped by shooting the ball better from 3-point range of late, but there’s no reason to think that won’t continue against Brooklyn tonight.
The Nets allow the fourth-most points per game to opposing point guards this season, and McCollum has been playing the 1 a lot.
But let’s not get it twisted, Brooklyn ain’t playing much D against either guard position. The Nets allow 21.5 points per game to opposing 2 guards as well (26.38 to point guards).
Between the two guard positions, the Nets allow a combined 13.69 assists per game. So whether McCollum is running the show at the 1 or playing off ball at the 2 tonight, he has a great shot to either find buckets or teammates wide-open shots for easy points.
Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Props)
There’s a mantra I live by, and if you don’t, you should do the same. And I’m sharing the secret …
Bigs versus the Hornets. That’s it. That’s the mantra.
If you don’t know about it by now, where have you been?!? We’ve been absolutely CRUSHING props by targeting bigs against the Hornets this year — and years past. So why should we believe that should stop tonight when Domantas Sabonis welcomes in the lowly Hornets to Sacramento? Spoiler … we shouldn’t.
Not only SHOULD we not, we’re not going to. In fact, we’re going right back to the honey hole that is big man props against Charlotte.
Why? Because Stone. Cold. Said. So.
No, just kidding. Because the Hornets can’t rebound the ball against opposing power forwards and centers that are worth any type of salt on the glass.
This season, Charlotte is allowing the second-most rebounds per game to opposing centers (16.46) and fifth most to opposing power forwards (10.87). For those of you mathematically impaired folks, that’s 27.33 combined rebounds per game.
Now I ask you: what does Sabonis do best?
… This is the part where you say: “Rebound.”
That’s right.
In his last five games against the Hornets, Sabonis has games of 15, 16, 18 and 23 rebounds. So Sabonis will smash this 12.5 rebound number tonight.
Magic +3.5 vs. Warriors (NBA Pick)
I’m not going to dive very deep on this at all because you’re never supposed to look a gift horse in the mouth.
The Magic are a good team. They’re good defensively (tied for eighth in defensive rating).
The Warriors are … NOT. They’re just not a good basketball team at the moment.
So if we’re getting a far better team catching points, I’m taking this line every day. It’s Magic +3.5 tonight and I’m not thinking twice.
If you really want to get spicy, fire up the moneyline at +130. I’m not personally doing that, but I wouldn’t blame anyone who did.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: C.J. McCollum Over 23.5 Points + Assists (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 3: Orlando Magic +3.5 vs. Warriors (NBA Pick)
= +481 at FanDuel Sportsbook
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