BANG! We cashed that Friday NBA parlay — IN THE THIRD FREAKING QUARTER! That’s how we cap off the week. We’re entering this pre-Christmas week with some extra yum-yum in our pocket. Let’s keep cooking with our NBA parlay picks today. We’re firing up a four-leg NBA parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook today, and it’s sitting at +607 with their parlay boost today.
NBA Parlay Picks Today: +607 Parlay Monday
Joel Embiid 10+ Rebounds & 76ers -5.5 (NBA Player Prop)
It’s just been an absolute warpath that Joel Embiid has been on this season. This man is just tearing teams up, and that should continue again tonight against the Bulls.
For the first leg of our NBA parlay today, we’re going to make a small same-game parlay for the Bulls-76ers and pair Joel Embiid 10-plus rebounds with the 76ers alt line of -5.5.
The last time Embiid failed to hit 10-plus boards was on Nov. 17 against the Hawks. The Bulls have struggled to rebound the ball and in their last four games have allowed guys like Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton and DeAndre Jordan to all record double-digit rebounds. Martin and Middleton had 12 and 13, respectively.
And the only reason Nikola Jokic didn’t put up a pornographic number against them was because he got ejected early in the game.
Now, imagine what a REAL rebounding force like Embiid will do to them.
The Bulls are a bad team, and they’re on the road tonight against the 76ers. This feels like another smash spot for Philadelphia, but the 11.5-point spread is pretty high. With this boost we can work it down a little and take the 5.5 number to cover.
OddsShopper’s betting model found another pricing disparity in the odds from this Bulls-76ers game. Coby White is -105 on DraftKings to stay under 22.5 points, below the True Odds of -116 and far below the -135 odds at Pinnacle, a sharp book. That makes this wager on White a +EV Bet. For the rest of our model’s projections — more than just the NBA — subscribe to OddsShopper Premium!
Scottie Barnes Over 21.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
The Raptors get to play one of the five worst teams in the NBA this season tonight in the Charlotte Hornets.
And if we know one thing about the Hornets, they absolutely LOVE to give it up to opposing 3’s/4’s. Ironically, that’s where our guy Scottie Barnes will be spending most of his time tonight.
Barnes is averaging 20 points per game this season and should get a nice little bump from the atrocious Hornets defense tonight, so we’re going to take our next leg as Barnes over 21.5 points.
In his last four games, Barnes has scored 31, 20, 27 and 23 points. Oh, and that 31? Yeah, that was against this same Hornets team.
Let’s pencil him in for at least 22 tonight, and you could probably get me to take it all the way up to 25-plus.
Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (NBA Player Prop)
This is one of the swords I’m willing to die on.
The Jaren Jackson Jr. rollercoaster has been running at full speed this season, but it’s going to come to a bit of a halt tonight.
Yes, he’s gone for 41 or more points twice in his last three games, but that feels WILDLY unsustainable. He went nuclear from 3-point range the one game and then shot 15 of 24 in the other.
So for the final pick of this parlay, we’re going to fire up the Jackson UNDER 33.5 points + rebounds + assists.
Why? The Grizzlies take on the Thunder, who are No. 6 in defensive rating in the NBA, and they have this guy named Chet Holmgren.
Why is Holmgren so important in this matchup? He’s athletic enough to move around with Jackson defensively, long enough to cause problems for him getting shots off and, more importantly, can probably get Jackson into foul trouble — you know, the guy who fouled out of a game in 14 minutes this season.
Unders aren’t fun, but they are profitable. In fact, Jackson has only had 10 or more combined rebounds and assists TWICE in his last 19 games. So unless he’s going HAM scoring, he’s likely not getting there.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Joel Embiid 10+ Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: 76ers -5.5 (NBA Pick)
Leg 3: Scottie Barnes Over 21.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 4: Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (NBA Player Prop)
= +607 at DraftKings Sportsbook
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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