BANG! We are SOOO back. And we cashed both our NBA parlay picks by betting the unders?!? Whew! Those under sweats just hit different, I will say. Tyus Jones gave us a scare, but the Washington Wizards are who we thought they were, and became terrible at the end of the game, so he sat the last few minutes to die on the hook. You truly love to see it!
Now it’s time for our top NBA parlay picks for today, Friday March 15th, including an NBA player prop pick for Immanuel Quickley. Need more action? Check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos!
We went on a bit of a heater last night thanks to the OddsShopper prop finder. It was absolute gas.
I gave out six bets on my full betting card, and we cashed ALL SIX OF ‘EM!
That’s what we call, havin’ a night.
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And, of course, if you want to get all of my daily NBA betting picks, you can join Discord (and get 20% off … check the code below 👇).
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NBA Parlay Picks Today: +267 Parlay for Friday
Immanuel Quickley u5.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
It pains me to bet against one of my favorite jitterbugs on the planet, but we’re hitting Immanuel Quickley with the nah wave tonight.
Quickley takes on an Orlando team that has been one of the toughest teams in the NBA against point guards in terms of limiting rebounds. The Magic are allowing less than 8 rebounds per game to opposing guards this season, and for as good as Quickley is, he isn’t known for his rebounding prowess.
The OddsShopper prop tool graded this out with an OS Rating of 12, which is a PRETTY high number in terms of what you’re going to see.
But, what I love about this bet is that we’re getting an incredible amount of EV — over 5%. At -125 odds, this was my favorite bet on the entire board. Pinnacle had the same bet listed with odds juiced to -159.
Given the amount of size Orlando has all around the floor (starters: three 6-10 dudes, two dudes 6-4 or taller), and Toronto’s lack of size, it stands within reason to believe there won’t be a ton of rebounds to go around for Quickley, who will be the smallest player on the floor.
Not only that, but this spread opened at Orlando -8.5, but currently sits -5.5. However, with RJ Barrett OUT, and Gary Trent questionable this does feel like a spot where the Raptors could get blown out as well.
Blow outs lead to less minutes, which leads to less opportunity. And, when you’re betting unders, that’s something you truly love to see.
Clint Capela u25.5 PRA (NBA Player Prop)
You guys don’t need me to sit here and tell you why we’re going to full fade this man tonight.
After all this man has put us through this year, we’re going to make some coin on the back of this man’s under. And it’s about damn time.
Now, we’re not getting quite the ridiculous OS Rating numbers or EV numbers like we had on Quickley, but we’re still sitting in the green here.
- OS Rating: 1
- EV: 1.7%
So, we’re putting ourselves in a good spot. But, let’s break down why we like it a bit more.
Capela is facing a Utah team that is now starting Walker Kessler and John Collins in its frontcourt — two dudes who are capable defenders. But, it’s not like Capela is going to be putting on a clinic of post moves to score. He’s a lob/putback guy.
While Capela may catch a lob or two tonight, he’s unlikely to get many putbacks, as Utah is No. 2 in the NBA in rebounding.
What’s more is that Capela is basically capped at 27 minutes MAX. He’s played than 27 minutes TWICE since January 1st. And he’s live to play as little as 20-21 minutes.
I’ll gladly take the under.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Immanuel Quickley u5.5 Rebounds
Leg 2: Clint Capela u25.5 PRA
= +267 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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