We were on a SMASH PATH last night, but the Cavs just dismantled the Wizards, and we finished a few points shy of having a big bang parlay win. Blowouts and foul trouble can be the absolute death for NBA parlay picks, and we felt that pain last night. We’re getting right back on the horse tonight with some Nuggets-Warriors NBA parlay picks today — a 4-leg +431 parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook.
NBA Parlay Picks Today: +431 Parlay Thursday
Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Will Nikola Jokic go over his rebound prop tonight? Probably. Will he definitely go over this 10.5 rebound number? Absolutely.
We’re working our NBA parlay picks today with a 25% profit boost in hand, so we’re going to take the alternate over/under on his rebounds at DraftKings tonight.
As of now, Jokic has a standard rebound prop of 12.5, and the OddsShopper Prop Tool has him projected to go over this number almost 53% of the time.
The Warriors have gone to a smaller starting lineup, with Trayce Jackson-Davis now being their starting center, which has them quite a bit undersized. This should lead to more rebounds for Jokic as he patrols the paint and hangs out by the rim — especially on the offensive glass.
I think there’s another ladder opportunity here tonight. And, if you took my advice on the Jarrett Allen rebound ladder last night, you woke up with a lot of dollars in your accounts today.
You’re welcome.
Stephen Curry Over 3.5 Assists (NBA Player Props)
The Warriors have made some shifts in their starting lineup, and how they’re running offense, so we have to adjust as well.
Stephen Curry is still going to be Stephen Curry, but he’s having to work harder to get shots, and he has started facilitating more recently.
In nine of his last 11 games, Curry has registered 4 or more assists, so, let’s ride the wave of him getting players more involved and take the alternate assist prop line of over 3.5.
Curry has gone over the 3.5 assist mark in his two games against the Nuggets this season, and has cashed this prop in all but two games against Denver since 2018.
Trayce Jackson-Davis Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
The insertion of Trayce Jackson-Davis into the starting lineup has been one Steve Kerr has needed to make for quite some time, but this might not be the matchup for the fella tonight.
Jackson-Davis is a bit undersized, and, going up against one of the best rebounding bigs in the game in Jokic is not going to be an easy task.
Sure, Jokic isn’t the BEST defender in the league, but it’s not like Jackson-Davis is going to be hunting shots and putting on a low-post move clinic like Hakeem in his prime.
There’s a very good chance he ends up in foul trouble trying to guard Jokic tonight, which could lead to more Kevon Looney minutes just to match the sheer size and girth of Jokic.
We’re going to take the UNDER on 16.5 points + rebounds, and if you can find a book to make this parlay with PRAs, that’s even better.
Nuggets Moneyline vs. Warriors (NBA Pick)
This line mad absolutely no sense at all. Not only are we including it in the parlay, but I hammered it as a single.
We’re getting -148 on the moneyline here for the Nuggets, against a Warriors team that hasn’t looked good for a long time.
I don’t even need to provide much detail other than the fact we’re getting such good value on the moneyline. We can’t pass it up.
Fire it up for the last leg of our NBA parlay today, and let’s run to the window when we cash this thing.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: Stephen Curry Over 3.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 3: Trayce Jackson-Davis Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 4: Nuggets Moneyline vs. Warriors (NBA Pick)
= +431 at DraftKings
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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