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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Dabble
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Doncic less than 33.5 points is getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -131, so this play is 4.4% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Murray less than 22.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -126, the expected value on this play is +1.7%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Ayton less than 11.5 rebounds is the closest, with a 55% win rate on a passable 1.72x multiplier (-125 implied odds vs. -122 True Odds).
Dabble trails PrizePicks and Underdog in the implied odds department, going -126 across the app. Vassell less than 21.5 points has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -129 True Odds and thus a +1.2% EV.
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