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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Dabble
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Monk less than 5.5 assists is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -129, so this play is 3.8% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Gilgeous-Alexander less than 6.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -128, the expected value on this play is +2.6%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today Giddey less than 6.5 rebounds is a strong play, with a 55% win rate on a solid 1.76x multiplier (-123 implied odds vs. -124 True Odds).
Dabble trails PrizePicks and Underdog in the implied odds department, going -126 across the app. Gobert less than 15.5 rebounds has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -129 True Odds and thus a +0.9% EV.
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