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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Dabble
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Podziemski less than 24.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -131, so this play is 4.3% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Barnes less than 7.5 assists has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -125, the expected value on this play is +1.5%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Booker less than 0.5 blocks is the closest, with a 65% win rate on a bad 1.45x multiplier (-222 implied odds).
Dabble trails PrizePicks and Underdog in the implied odds department, going -126 across the app. Edwards less than 5.5 assists has an expected winning percentage of 58%, which is giving it -138 True Odds and thus a +4% EV.
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