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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Dabble
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Suggs less than 2.5 assists is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -126, so this play is 2.5% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Ivey more than 13.5 points has a 57% expected win percentage against True Odds of -131, the expected value on this play is +3.4%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today Wagner less than 5.5 rebounds is a solid value, with a 58% win rate on a passable 1.74x multiplier (-135 implied odds vs. -139 True Odds).
Dabble trails PrizePicks and Underdog in the implied odds department, going -126 across the app. Allen less than 17.5 points has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -128 True Odds and thus a +0.6% EV.
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