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NBA PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, Sleeper Fantasy
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Antetokounmpo less than 12.5 rebounds is getting a 59% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -143, so this play is 8.4% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Schroder less than 6.5 assists has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -126, the expected value on this play is +1.9%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, today Gobert less than 16.5 rebounds is the closest, with a 59% win rate on a bad 1.46x multiplier (-159 implied odds vs. -144 True Odds).
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