We’re so back. After a lengthy, news-packed offseason, the NBA returns with a thrilling two-game slate for Opening Night. First, the New York Knicks will visit the defending champion Boston Celtics at 7:30 ET; then, the Minnesota Timberwolves will visit the Los Angeles Lakers in a big-time photo opportunity for LeBron James and his son at 10 ET. While you’re here, check out our guides to NBA betting strategy and NBA player prop betting strategy to get started. Without further ado, here are the top NBA player prop picks and predictions for today, Opening Night, including a bet for Rudy Gobert.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Opening Night
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Opening Night
Last season, we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on +EV NBA bets. Click here to unlock a week of our picks for $1!
It’s crucial to have a sports betting strategy when you start placing your wagers. Even if your strategy is just to bet $1 on a crazy parlay every night, having a plan and sticking to it is the most basic step to profitable sports betting. If you’re looking to improve your process, our tools can help you find profitable bets every night.
We have the numbers to back it up. Our Portfolio EV sports betting model is off to a solid 811-699 (5.8% ROI) on NFL bets with an OS Rating of 2 or higher so far, and we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on the NBA last year. After years of research and development, we’ve assembled a system to help you get loads of bets with positive expected value (+EV) down quickly.
To help you get started building your profitable portfolio of NBA player prop bets this season, here are some freebies:
When this article went live, these three plays were the best NBA player props for today, Opening Night, per Portfolio EV. That said, the market is always moving, so our model changes with it. Click here for more +EV NBA bets!
How does it all work? That’s simple: We use all the odds from every sportsbook to generate the “true odds” of each wager, which is the breakeven point. When we find a book taking action on a price longer than those the true odds, we’re beating the market, and we know the bet has +EV.
I’ll use the top bet on the board as an illustration. Rudy Gobert will cost you only -105 to stay under 12.5 rebounds at DraftKings, but half the market has the under 11.5 priced at a comparable +110. Pinnacle, a sharp offshore, has the under 11.5 at just +107. We’re getting an extra board for close to free.
For Opening Night, all of the top picks were at DraftKings, where we went 3,815-3,150 (7.6%) on the NBA last season. We post all of our +EV betting results on our site — unlike some of our competitors, we provide free and complete transparency about our outcomes.
As we dig deeper, unders for Josh Hart and Jrue Holiday stand out. Both players face loads of competition for minutes and shot attempts, and their odds at DraftKings are just too good to pass up. Lock these bets in before they get bid off the board entirely.
Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NFL player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month — or you can get your first week for just $1 by using code “DUNK” until October 27.
