It’s Cup season! The quarterfinals of the NBA Cup give us two games across the entire league — so we make do with what we have. The good news is Portfolio EV always provides an edge — I got seven bets down on my Road to 100 NBA Units for last night’s solo action. The league has a bunch of fanfare headed its way this week as it moves closer to naming an in-season champion. Here are our top NBA player prop picks from Portfolio EV for Tuesday, Dec. 10.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Tuesday, Dec. 10
Last season, we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on our NBA expert picks. Find more +EV betting results here!
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today
We have multiple cappers here at OddsShopper providing daily recaps of their +EV NBA bets with our tools. The past week has netted some rough results for a few of us, with me seeing the wildest of swings. It’s vital to keep reminding yourself no matter how big or small a night — even if it’s devastating — that the long game always prevails. We put up plays each night from Portfolio EV simply because they work. We also strongly recommend both here and via the tools themselves — bet in volume.
I’m getting down around 100 bets on a full slate, even closer to that number on a decently sized night. It’s not about chasing anything; it’s knowing the only way to truly unlock long-term profits from a market-based approach is volume, simply put.
We open with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope staying below 14.5 points + rebounds + assists. Caldwell-Pope and his Orlando Magic step into the quarterfinals looking to knock off the Bucks in Milwaukee. Before we look any deeper into any possible expanded role for this role player, let’s look at the price.
We immediately save 6 cents (hey, that’s a lot!) from the -105 price on DraftKings — compared to the true odds. Looking at the graphic, you see the breakdown of savings. Just like when you shop car insurance and see the list of some companies overcharging you, there’s a graphic illustrating the same thing with sportsbooks.
While the -110 at BetMGM narrowly beats the true odds, it doesn’t do anything to beat the -105 at DraftKings. Our detailed algorithm picked apart the entire NBA betting market to find you this gem. It’s a 2.2% edge but still good enough to profit over time. We have a good approach with the other two plays in the same game.
You shop your kid’s cereal; start shopping your bets! We have a similar edge with Gary Trent Jr. and Damian Lillard each staying below their 3-pointer props. You can look at the price difference between both the plays and the true odds. The process never wavers.
If you are new to betting on sports but understand the basic principles of how a market works, this is the easiest and fastest way to build a bankroll. Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NBA player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month.
