The NBA is so back! Last night’s slate saw the Boston Celtics come just one 3-pointer shy of NBA history. Then, right after that, the Los Angeles Lakers did make NBA history with both LeBron James and his son, Bronny James, on the court. While you’re here, check out our guides to NBA betting strategy and NBA player prop betting strategy to refine your process, but without further ado, let’s dive into the top NBA player prop picks and predictions for today, Wednesday, October 23, including a bet for Rudy Gobert.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Wednesday, October 23
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Wednesday, October 23
Last season, we went 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) on +EV NBA bets. Click here to unlock a week of our picks for $1!
Do you just based on gut feelings, or do you have a more specific sports betting strategy in mind when placing bets? Regardless of your level of experience, I recommend (a) sticking to a consistent approach when betting and (b) tracking your results — otherwise, how will you know if you’re making a profit?
At OddsShopper, our job is to help you do just that. Nothing works better than Portfolio EV, our sports betting model, which ran up the score by recording a 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) record on NBA props last season. Following intense of research and development, we’ve built a system to help you place lots of bets with positive expected value (+EV) fast.
To help you get started constructing your profitable portfolio of NBA player prop bets, here are some freebies:
As of press time, these were some of the top NBA player props for today, per Portfolio EV. That is obviously subject to change: As sportsbooks adjust, so does the value of each NBA prop. Click here for more +EV NBA bets!
The tool works by indexing the odds from every sportsbook to estimate a breakeven price. Once we’ve got that price in our back pocket, we can go looking for books offering longer odds; when we find one, we know that wager has +EV.
To prove my point, let’s look deeper at the Tyus Jones under 10.5 points bet. DraftKings is charging -110 for that line, but our tools think a fair price is -125 because every other book is offering odds of between -120 (Fanatics) and -152 (Pinnacle).
As we scroll down the board, we see wagers for Dyson Daniels (now a member of the Atlanta Hawks) and Paolo Banchero popping with value. Using our customizable bet sizing recommendations, we see that the Daniels bet is worth wagering 3.7% of our bankroll on while the Banchero bet is worth 2.3%.
With all of today’s top picks posted at DraftKings, it’s worth noting that we went 3,815-3,150 (7.6%) on NBA bets at that book last year. We post all of our +EV betting results on our site — unlike some of our competitors, we provide free and complete transparency about our outcomes.
Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NFL player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month — or you can get your first week for just $1 by using code “DUNK” until October 27.
