It is another early start for the NBA, so No House Advantage plays for today are once again going to come fast. As always, this column uses NBA Bet Pro to find the best NBA player props, and today’s slate has a bet with one of the highest expected win rates that Stokastic has projected since the launching of NBA Bet Pro. Make sure you take advantage of these No House Advantage NBA player props while the value is high.
Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER
NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props
[osoddswidget]
LaMelo Ball Under 5.5 Rebounds
Charlotte hosts Boston in the earliest game of the slate, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET. The key note for this one is the Celtics missing Jaylen Brown, and though that’s a key perimeter piece they won’t have in their effort to contain Ball, NBA Bet Pro is liking the under here on Ball’s rebounds.
Ball is a solid rebounder for a guard, but he is averaging a career low in Year 3, with 5.4 per game. He has been held under six boards in 11 of 20 games despite playing at least 30 minutes in nearly all of those. Meanwhile, the Celtics are fourth in rebound rate over the last five games, and they have the size on the perimeter to keep Ball off the glass despite Brown’s absence
Yes, Ball grabbed seven rebounds in Saturday’s game against Boston, but that could also be an indicator of regression towards his season numbers. Stokastic thinks that will be the case this afternoon, projecting Ball for 4.8 rebounds and a 65% win rate on the under.
Gabe Vincent Over 1.5 Rebounds
This is the bet mentioned above that has one of the highest win expectancies that NBA Bet Pro has identified on No House Advantage this year. At a whopping 82%, Stokastic views Vincent as close to a lock to grab at least two rebounds, projecting him for 3.3.
Vincent is only averaging 2.2 rebounds per game on the season, but not only is that still above this prop line, it does not factor in Miami’s current backcourt situation. Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson are all out — two of those play over 30 minutes a game — and together they average over nine rebounds. That’s simply too much production being vacated to play anything other than an over for Vincent here, which he has hit in three straight and four of the last five with Miami deploying a depleted guard rotation.
Stokastic projects Vincent for 35.6 minutes tonight; that is 10 more than his season average, for the record. Lock in the over.
Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER
