The afternoon start to the NBA slate means it’s time for an early check-in with NBA Bet Pro to find the best NBA player props for Sunday No House Advantage plays. Today the top slot for projected win rate for NHA props comes from the Spurs taking on the Kings, where one player has seen his line kick up after a strong of strong outings.
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NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props
Tre Jones Under 15.5 Points
Jones is a supremely underrated point guard, averaging 13.7 points for a tanking Spurs team. However, 15.5 is a pretty big number for him, even with the Sacramento Kings playing at the league’s fourth-highest pace. After all, the Spurs are not far behind them at No. 8, so while this is a slight pace up, Stokastic does not see it as so much of one to spot Jones nearly 2 extra points from his season rate.
In fact, NBA Bet Pro has Jones scoring less than his average (13.5) in less than his average amount of playing time (26.9 projected minutes compared to his typical 29.9). Jones has only gotten to 16 points in 15 of 42 games this year (35.7%), and he fell just shy of this line in his lone matchup with Sacramento this year — 15 points in 29 minutes. So despite Jones’ recent hot streak of hitting this over in five straight, Stokastic projects a 64% win rate on the under.
Julius Randle Over 3.5 Assists
Randle’s red-hot shooting streak has cooled off considerably, but his assist numbers have been decent, recording at least four in 7 of 10 and averaging 3.8 on the season. He is also projecting for over 37 minutes tonight, so even though Jalen Brunson is handling much of the ball handling and R.J. Barrett is back, Randle should get enough action to hit this over again.
Today the Knicks take on the Pistons, who allow the sixth-most assists per game in the NBA, and Randle has recorded five assists in two of three games against Detroit this season. Stokastic projects him for 4.4 today and gives the over on 3.5 a 63% win probability.
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