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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Betr Picks & Plays
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Porzingis less than 33.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -128, so this is a +EV play of 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. Luckily for us today, there actually is a +EV Sleeper play on the board. Williams less than 5.5 rebounds is a hair under 1% expected value, as this has a solid 59% win rate and a passable multiplier of 1.70x.
Betr Picks’ implied odds are -122 across the app. Sochan less than 12.5 points is the top play, as its 56% expected win rate and -129 True Odds make it +EV by 2% . Plus, Betr Picks is the best option for this play regardless of the market (fantasy, betting etc.), with all sportsbook odds at -125 or worse.
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