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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Capela less than 28.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -128, so this is a +EV play of 3%.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks, and Branham less than 3.5 assists has a 57% expected win percentage. That leads to OddsShopper True Odds of -133, which makes this play +EV by 4%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Tatum less than 8.5 rebounds is the closest, earning a modest 53% win rate but a strong multiplier of 1.87x (-115 implied odds). Its True Odds are not far off at -112, so its EV is only negative by 1%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Sabonis less than 21.5 points has a strong expected winning percentage of 57%, which is giving it -134 True Odds. Compared to the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 4%.
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