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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Porzingis less than 7.5 rebounds is getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -133, so this play is 5% +EV to lead all PrizePicks options.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Edwards less than 5.5 rebounds has a 55% expected win percentage against True Odds of -125, the expected value on this play is positive by 1%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today we have a solid play, as Bogdanovic less than 3.5 rebounds has a 63% win rate to offset a mediocre 1.59x multiplier (-169 implied odds). With True Odds at -170, the play is +EV by about 1%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Tatum less than 8.5 rebounds has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -129 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 2%.
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