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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Quickley less than 19.5 points is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -125, so this play is 2% +EV to lead all PrizePicks options.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Mann less than 8.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -127, the expected value on this play is positive by 2%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today we have a solid play, as Jones less than 4.5 rebounds has a 64% win rate to offset a mediocre 1.64x multiplier (-156 implied odds). With True Odds at -176, the play is +EV by 5%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Barnes less than 22.5 points has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -125 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 1%.
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