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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Beal less than 5.5 assists getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -134, so this play is 5% +EV to lead all pick’em options.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Vucevic less than 19.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -129, the expected value on this play is positive by 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today we have a strong option, as Doncic less than 9.5 rebounds has a 57% win rate on a strong 1.80x multiplier (-125 implied odds). With True Odds at -131, the play is 2% +EV.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Gobert less than 14.5 points has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -129 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 2%.
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