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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Porter less than 7.5 rebounds is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -126, so this is a +EV play of 2%.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Turner less than 20.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -129, the expected value on this play is positive by 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Cunningham less than 7.5 assists is close, earning an OK 53% win rate but a strong multiplier of 1.83x (-120 implied odds). Its True Odds are not far off at -115, so the EV is only negative by 2%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Going back to Cunningham, less than 38.5 points + rebounds + assists has a strong expected winning percentage of 57%, which is giving it -135 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 4%.
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