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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Sochan less than 22.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -132, so this is a +EV play of 5%.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Harris less than 17.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -129, the expected value on this play is positive by 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Tatum less than 8.5 rebounds is close, earning a passable 52% win rate but a strong multiplier of 1.91x (-110 implied odds). Its True Odds are not far off at -108, so the EV is only negative by 1%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Jackson-Davis less than 20.5 points + rebounds + assists has a strong expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -128 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 2%.
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