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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Barnes less than 5.5 assists is getting a 57% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -133, so this is a +EV play of 5% to earn the honors of the top pick’em play of the slate.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Barrett less than 5.5 rebounds has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -129, the expected value on this play is positive by 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Murray less than 5.5 rebounds has a passable 52% win rate and a strong 1.9x multiplier to create -111 implied odds. With the True Odds at -110, the play is basically neutral.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Ivey less than 20.5 points has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -128 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 2%.
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