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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Vucevic less than 1.5 3-pointers is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -129, so this is a +EV play of 4% to lead all pick’em plays.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Vucevic less than 18.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -125, the expected value on this play is positive by 2%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today we do have a positive play; Edwards less than 5.5 rebounds has a strong 1.89x multiplier to create -112 implied odds. With the True Odds at -115, the play is +EV by 1%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Nembhard less than 21.5 points + rebounds + assists has an expected winning percentage of 56%, which is giving it -127 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 2%.
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