Are you having trouble making progress with your NBA pick’em plays? Well, we have the answer for you, and you can start seeing an upswing in your picks TODAY! Simply sign up with OddsShopper Premium for only $49.95 a month and immediately gain access to all sorts of +EV NBA picks tonight — if you sign up now, make sure to use the promo code CHEATSHEET at checkout to get 20% off! For now, we will give you just a taste of what OddsShopper Premium has to offer for the best DFS apps on Thursday, Jan. 4: One pick each from PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy and Betr Picks. We will also show how the picks for each pick’em site compare to projections set by betting markets and other DFS apps so you can see how the value stacks up!
NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Sochan less than 21.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 55% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -124, so this is a +EV play of 2%.
This is a Friday game, but it is the only +EV Underdog NBA play right now.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since White less than 5.5 assists has a 55% expected win percentage against True Odds of -123, the expected value on this play is positive by a tick under 1%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — such is the case today. However, Giannis less than 12.5 rebounds is close, earning a decent 54% win rate against a strong 1.84x multiplier (-119 implied odds). Its True Odds are not far off at -116, so the EV is only negative by 1%.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. Lillard less than 4.5 rebounds has a strong expected winning percentage of 57%, which is giving it -134 True Odds. Given the Betr Picks odds, that makes this play +EV by 4%.
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