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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy Picks Today
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Lopez less than 19.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 54% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -120, so this is a +EV play of just a hair under 1%.
Because Underdog’s implied odds are slightly worse than PrizePicks’ at -121, there are currently no +EV options for the Christmas NBA slate. That said, Embiid less than 5.5 assists has -119 True Odds (54% win rate), so it is just barely negative at -1% EV.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — and for Christmas it’s about as tough as it gets, with the “best” play being negative by 9% in terms of EV. However, for the sake of your entries, we will recommend Maxey less than 3.5 rebounds, which has a decent 56% win rate on a mediocre 1.66x multiplier.
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New to DFS pick’em? OddsShopper’s selection of Betting 101 articles is here to help. Check out our guide to finding positive expected value (+EV), and you can unlock more +EV plays by signing up for OddsShopper Premium! Don’t believe OddsShopper will change your results? Check out our experts’ profits:
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