If you’re looking for the best +EV NBA bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by Portfolio EV’s market-based betting approach. If you want to learn more about the science behind Portfolio EV, click this link to check out our extensive rundown.
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Our Top NBA Bets Today: +EV Picks for Friday, February 21
Grizzlies @ Magic
Wendell Carter Jr. Under 8.5 Rebounds (-140) at Hard Rock Bet
- This prop has an EV of +5.0%, and the true odds are -158.
- Other sportsbooks are listing this prop as low as 7.5.
- He is averaging just 7.5 rebounds per game.
- Memphis has the second-best rebound percentage in the NBA.
Knicks @ Cavs
Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 3pt FGM (-130) at DraftKings
- This prop has an EV of +2.4%, and the true odds are -137.
- Jalen Brunson takes a majority of his shots from mid-range.
- He will look to attack there considering Cleveland ranks 21st in field goal attempts allowed and 16th in field goals made from mid-range.
- Cleveland is better at limiting attempts from three-point land, as they allow the 5th fewest shots from there.
Mikal Bridges Under 16.5 Points (-125) at DraftKings
- This prop has an EV of +1.8%, and the true odds are -130.
- Other sportsbooks have him listed at 15.5 points.
- A majority of his shot attempts come from three-point, but Cleveland ranks 5th in field goals allowed from there.
- Cleveland also ranks 6th in effective field goal percentage and 8th in points per 100 possessions allowed.
T’Wolves @ Rockets
Naz Reid Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-115) at Hard Rock Bet
- This prop has an EV of +3.3%, and the true odds are -124.
- Houston is 4th in both defensive effective field goal percentage and points per 100 possessions allowed.
- In three games against the Rockets – Reid is averaging 16 points, 7 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
Heat @ Raptors
Tyler Herro Under 6.5 Assists (-145) at DraftKings
- This prop has an EV of +2.3%, and the true odds are -153.
- Herro is averaging 5.5 assists per game.
- Toronto has a weaker defense, so as the Heat’s primary threat, Herro should look to score rather than dish it off.
Final Thoughts
These picks offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones on a daily basis, make sure you sign up for our 75% off promo, where you can access dozens of +EV wagers every single day. To access your first month 75% off – use promo code: “RETURN”
