If you’re looking for the best +EV NBA bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by Portfolio EV’s market-based betting approach. If you want to learn more about the science behind Portfolio EV, click this link to check out our extensive rundown.
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Our Top NBA Bets Today: +EV Picks for Thursday, February 20
Celtics @ 76ers
Paul George Under 2.5 3pt FGM (-152) at BetRivers
- Rest of the betting market is -175 or worse.
- Boston ranks 3rd in eFG% allowed.
- Boston is 9th in opponent FG% from 3pt.
- Boston is 8th in field goal attempts allowed from 3pt.
Bulls @ Knicks
Nikola Vucevic Under 3.5 Assists (+100) at Hard Rock Bet
- Most of the betting market is -110 or worse.
- The Knicks are top-10 in opponent assists allowed per game.
- Vucevic’s assist percentage has decreases since the Bulls traded away Zach LaVine.
Magic @ Hawks
Trae Young Under 40.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110) at BetRivers
- Sharper sportsbooks have the juice -150, or are listing the prop at 39.5.
- Orlando is 1st in shot attempts allowed from 3pt.
- Orlando is 3rd in defensive points per 100 possessions allowed.
- Orlando has the second slowest pace of play, which should lead to a lower scoring game.
Cavaliers @ Nets
Nicolas Claxton Under 11.5 Points (-122) at BetRivers
- Cleveland is top-8 in both defensive points per 100 possessions and effective field goal percentage allowed.
- It’s a tough matchup going against Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley.
- Cleveland ranks 1st in opponent field goal percentage allowed at the rim.
- Rest of the betting market is listing this prop at 10.5 points.
Hornets @ Nuggets
Miles Bridges Under 25.5 Points (-105) at Hard Rock Bet
- Most of the betting market is listing these odds at -120 or worse.
- He’s on the second-leg of a back-to-back. He played 33 minutes last night.
- A majority of his shots come at the rim and from 3pt land.
- Denver ranks 10th in field goal attempts allowed at the rim.
- Denver ranks 12th in field goal attempts allowed from 3pt.
Suns @ Spurs
Kevin Durant Under 2.5 3pt FGM (-122) at BetRivers
- Rest of the betting market is listing these odds at -140 or worse.
- The Spurs rank 13th in field goal attempts allowed from 3pt.
- The Spurs rank 25th in opponent field goal success from mid-range, which is where Durant thrives. He should be focusing on taking a majority of his shots from there.
Final Thoughts
These picks offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones on a daily basis, make sure you sign up for our 75% off promo, where you can access dozens of +EV wagers every single day. To access your first month 75% off – use promo code: “RETURN”
