It’s a rematch! The Magic and Raptors played Friday, and Orlando dispatched them fairly easily. Well, now the Magic get to host slumping Toronto and are doing so with the No. 4 seed in the East clearly within sight. Let’s dive into the Raptors-Magic player prop odds to identify the best bet for Sunday’s game, specifically looking at Paolo Banchero. If you’re seeking some more action, check out the rest of our NBA player prop picks, our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos. Also, you can always check out Isaiah Sirois’ guide to NBA player prop betting as well!
Paolo Banchero Player Prop: Best Raptors-Magic Bet Today
Raptors-Magic Player Prop: Paolo Banchero O/U 7.5 Rebounds
This bet is all about value and the market. There are actually a number of spots where OddsShopper finds the odds attractive, as the Premium model has the True Odds on Banchero under 7.5 rebounds at +103. That means anything shorter than that is +EV, and a few are up at +110. Bet365 is best, though, with +115 odds making it positive by over 6% and the No. 1 prop on the board right now.
Sure, there is plenty of reason to think Banchero will grab at least eight rebounds — even OddsShopper thinks so since the expected win rate on his under is just 49%. The Raptors are 28th in rebounding over the last 15 games, second in pace in that stretch and, most importantly, are missing several of their top rebounders (Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes).
Orlando is pretty much healthy, however, and though Banchero grabbed nine rebounds against Toronto on Friday, he has only hit this over in two of his last six and less than 50% of games overall this season.
There is enough value with Banchero’s odds to make this under quite attractive despite him being in a good spot to rack up some boards. That’s the benefit of the OddsShopper Premium model — the data from our experts and the market show that this is a strong play even with a sub-50% chance of hitting.
Raptors-Magic Player Prop: Paolo Banchero Under 7.5 Rebounds (+115 at bet365)
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