The Indiana Pacers will visit the New York Knicks for Game 2 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series. With the Knicks up 1-0 on their home floor, the Pacers aren’t in a do-or-die spot tonight, but they’d certainly love to flip home-field advantage and apply some pressure with a win tonight. Let’s dive into my top Pascal Siakam player prop pick for tonight’s Pacers-Knicks game. Check out our NBA betting model or our full NBA player props article for more picks!
Pascal Siakam Player Prop for Knicks-Pacers Game 2
Pascal Siakam Player Prop for Knicks-Pacers Game 2: O/U 27.5 Points & Rebounds
Head coach Tom Thibodeau must have been very unhappy with how his team defended the Indiana Pacers in Game 1. The Knicks gave up an early lead and had to rally from behind, allowing the Pacers to rack up 117 total points. Myles Turner (23) and T.J. McConnell (18) were two of the main culprits, but Pascal Siakam (19) did plenty of damage as well.
Siakam shot 8-for-16 from the field, 1-for-3 from beyond the arc and 2-for-4 from the charity stripe. While those are sustainable shooting numbers, they’re also not very good by his standards. Siakam is coming off a series in which he averaged 22.3 points per game on splits of 55/27/46. Those scoring numbers are skewed by his first two games of the series, after which he averaged 15.3 points on splits of 47/14/39.
So, is a Siakam bounce-back coming, or should we expect him to keep struggling? If Game 1 was any indication, it’s the latter. The veteran forward just hasn’t been efficient, and now he’ll have to deal with strong, more flexible defenders in Isaiah Hartenstein and Precious Achiuwa with Mitchell Robinson shelved.
We’re fading Siakam in more than just the points column, where his prop total is trading at a fair 19.5 or 20.5. We’re adding on rebounds to get the total to 27.5. He tallied 25 total points and rebounds in Game 1 and also racked up exactly 25 in two regular-season meetings with the Knicks.
With his six rebounds in Game 1 coming on only nine rebound chances — and our NBA betting model showing his rebound under trading with positive expected value (+EV) — I love this under for Siakam tonight.
NBA Player Prop Pick: Pascal Siakam Under 27.5 Points & Rebounds -115 at Hard Rock
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