The Miami Heat will visit the Toronto Raptors tonight in a fight for playoff positioning. If the season ended today, both squads would have to fight through the play-in tournament. OddsShopper’s betting model recommends backing one key member of Miami’s rotation. This Jimmy Butler player prop for tonight’s Heat-Raptors game has tons of value at FanDuel. For more Heat-Raptors player prop bets and NBA predictions, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles. I’ve already locked in two other player props for this evening’s action.
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Heat-Raptors Odds & Best Bet Tonight | Jimmy Butler Player Prop
Jimmy Butler O/U 5.5 Rebounds
This line doesn’t make a ton of sense for a must-win game. The Miami Heat will likely hand Butler close to a playoff-level workload as long as this one remains close. The sharp books understand this — Pinnacle has set Butler’s rebound line to 6.5 with the juice only slightly favoring the under. In contrast, FanDuel Sportsbook is selling the over 5.5 at only -140, which gives this play an expected ROI of 7%, per OddsShopper’s betting model.
Factors beyond the market point to this player prop as a sharp one. Butler is averaging six rebounds per game this year and 5.9 since the All-Star Break. He has also averaged 6.4 rebounds per game when asked to play 36-plus minutes, which could easily be in the cards for him tonight. Stokastic’s proprietary projections have Butler projected for 35.7 minutes and 6.1 rebounds this evening. The Raptors have also allowed the third-most rebounds to small forwards through the last seven games (8.9).
Taking a look at @OddsShopper Premium and @StokasticNBA Bet Pro reveals some solid value on this #NBA player prop right now:
Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 RBD -140 at FD for 0.7u pic.twitter.com/ta5ykxit2W
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 28, 2023
So how off-market is FanDuel’s price? Like Pinnacle, DraftKings Sportsbook has the total set to 6.5. Caesars Sportsbook does as well. So with FanDuel content to take action on an off-market NBA player prop, let’s take advantage. Readers yet to register at FanDuel can score a no-sweat first bet worth up to $1,000, so even if Butler doesn’t come through, you’ll still get another chance to make a profit. Let’s wager enough on this one to score a half-unit profit.
Not every model pick wins, but getting exposure to every market that OddsShopper’s betting model identifies as a +ROI wager is a great way to make a profit. The model has helped bettors who placed $100 on every +ROI bet five minutes before the start of each game since mid-January make $40,000! To try it out, simply sign up for a 7-day free trial by clicking on the ad below!
Heat-Raptors Player Prop Bet: Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140 for 0.7 Unit) at FanDuel
