The New York Knicks and Portland Trail Blazers will square off on tonight’s late slate. These teams are heading in vastly different directions — Portland is 3-7 through the last 10 games while New York is 7-3. Center Mitchell Robinson will look to keep one statistical streak alive against Portland that dates back to early 2021. Bettors hunting out an NBA Knicks-Blazers player prop should tail the prediction below — DraftKings has left too much value on the Mitchell Robinson player prop markets. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Knicks-Trail Blazers NBA Player Prop | Mitchell Robinson
Mitchell Robinson O/U 1.5 Blocks
The Portland Trail Blazers have struggled in the paint when facing Mitchell Robinson. The rim protector is averaging an impressive two blocks per game against them and has swatted at least a pair of shots in the last four meetings between these teams, including their prior game this season. Robinson racked up two blocks despite playing only 23 minutes due to foul trouble.
We’re targeting this prop even though Robinson has disappointed in the block column lately. He is averaging just one block per game since the All-Star Break and has recorded multiple blocks just twice through the span. He did so against the Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Clippers. However, Tuesday’s game against the Trail Blazers is the perfect get-right spot for him. Robinson is averaging 1.6 blocks per game this year with 23 multi-block games in 48 starts (47.9%), so he must only regress to the mean.
Robinson should keep his streak against Portland alive because of the team’s recent cold spell. The Blazers have allowed opposing centers to block plenty of shots lately. New Orleans’ Jonas Valanciunas recorded two blocks in only 21 minutes of action. One of his backups, Jaxson Hayes, added another. Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid tallied three swats against them as well. Although the Blazers have allowed the 12th-fewest blocks to centers per game on the year (1.4), they have allowed the seventh-most through the last seven games (2.6). Portland’s increased pace may explain that uptick. The Trail Blazers rank 23rd in pace on the year but 13th through the last seven games.
The books have pushed this NBA player prop into the plus money because of Robinson’s recent inability to swat shots. While that decision makes sense, it’s important to note that five of Robinson’s 10 games since the All-Star Break came against teams that rank in the top five for the fewest blocks allowed. Lock in the over 1.5 at +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Readers yet to register at DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets immediately after placing a $5 wager!
Best Knicks-Trail Blazers Player Prop: Mitchell Robinson Over 1.5 Blocks (+100 for 0.5 Unit) at DraftKings
