This 2022-23 season hasn’t gone as planned for the Golden State Warriors or the Los Angeles Clippers. Once co-favorites for the Western Conference, both teams would have to play the first playoff round without home-court advantage if the season ended today. Bettors hunting out an NBA Warriors-Clippers player prop should tail the prediction below — DraftKings has left too much value on the Stephen Curry player prop markets due to this trend. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Warriors-Clippers NBA Player Prop | Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry O/U 0.5 Steals
The Los Angeles Clippers front office caved to its players by bringing in Russell Westbrook. Unsurprisingly, the move hasn’t helped them much. The team lost its first five games with Westbrook in the starting five. He averaged 31.2 minutes per game in those contests. The Clippers are now on a three-game winning streak with him still starting, but the veteran guard has averaged only 26.8 minutes per game in those wins. Westbrook’s ball-dominant playstyle and inefficient 3-point shooting make him a poor fit for this roster.
Fortunately, Stephen Curry should be able to exploit Westbrook in the limited minutes Westbrook gets tonight. Curry has racked up at least one steal in 31 of his 36 matchups against Westbrook (86.1%), including nine of their last 10 meetings. Curry racked up four steals in their most recent meeting, nabbing his first steal against Westbrook in less than two minutes of action. Look for history to repeat itself tonight.
The Clippers have generally let point guards take the ball away from them all season, but things have only gotten worse since Westbrook came to town. L.A. has allowed the fifth-most steals per game (7.9) and the third-most to point guards (2.2) this season. Over the last seven games, all of which Westbrook started, the Clippers have allowed an NBA-high 3.1 steals per game to the position, including a three-steal performance by Fred VanVleet just last week.
Curry hasn’t been the most aggressive defender since his return from injury, but he has still averaged a solid 0.8 steals through 35.8 minutes per game. Three of his five starts through that span came against teams that allow a below-average number of steals. The implied odds for Curry to get a single steal (65.5%) may reflect his season hit rate (62.7%) but not his absurd hit rate against Westbrook (86.1%) and the Clippers’ own struggles. Let’s buy into this prop at -190 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Readers yet to register at DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets immediately after placing a $5 wager!
Best Warriors-Clippers Player Prop: Stephen Curry Over 0.5 Steals (-190 for 0.95 Unit) at DraftKings
