The Minnesota Timberwolves head out west to take on the Golden State Warriors tonight. Karl-Anthony Towns returned to the Timberwolves lineup this week but OddsShopper’s betting model is still finding value on a Rudy Gobert over on his rebounding player prop. This Rudy Gobert player prop for Timberwolves-Warriors has some edge at PointsBet. If you’re looking for more value in the Timberwolves-Warriors matchup, or any other NBA game, head over to OddsShopper’s tools and articles, where you’ll find breakdowns of all the NBA betting action.
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Timberwolves-Warriors Odds & Best Bet Tonight
Rudy Gobert O/U 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
The line for Rudy Gobert’s rebounding prop is just low enough to offer value relative to the rest of the market. OddsShopper’s betting model uses the sharpest sportsbooks in every sport and market type to find the efficient line, and then compare where it’s off. No book is further off on this one than PointsBet. There’s a 3% positive expected value on taking Rudy Gobert to go over the 10.5 rebounds at -115. The bet wins about 55% of the time. Don’t break the bank, but OddsShopper’s model suggests making a small bet around 2% of your bankroll.
This Rudy Gobert player prop looks good relative to the rest of the market, but it isn’t solely a market tracking play. The statistical projections have Gobert posting an average of 11.1 rebounds in this spot. That’s good enough for a bit of edge, around 2% EV, at a Vig of -115. That’s also nothing to throw a lot of your bankroll at, but it certainly indicates the robustness of this value.
An additional benefit to jumping on this bet now is that Karl-Anthony Towns is still a game-time decision heading into tonight’s game. If Towns is ruled out before tip-off, Gobert’s lines are going to move as his rebounding projection and overall usage increase. Towns played 26 minutes in his return from injury on Wednesday, so he could still be quite limited even if he does suit up.
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Timberwolves-Warriors Player Prop Bet: Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 Rebounds (-115) at PointsBet.