We are winding down the NBA regular season with nine more games tonight. The season has been over for a bunch of bottom feeders, while others are trying to keep past with the shift of playoff seeding. Then there’s teams like the 76ers, hoping a return of Joel Embiid can restore playoff hopes. We have two monster games out West with the Warriors and Mavs squaring off and the Clippers in Sacramento.
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It’s a simple question at Underdog Fantasy: choose if a player will finish higher or lower their current projection. Build anywhere from two to six legs. Here are the top two plays from Underdog — getting 3x back on a winning ticket. OddsShopper has an Underdog Fantasy optimizer tool designed to help you build winning cards
Underdog Fantasy NBA Pick’em Predictions Today
Giannis Antetokounmpo H/L Than 13.5 Rebounds
There are few examples that would highlight two teams moving in the total opposite direction like the Milwaukee Bucks taking on the Washington Wizards. The way things have been recently playing out across the league, this could be a Wizards shocker at home or they get run out of the building. Giannis comes in with a hefty rebound total that would reflect him playing more of a full game than sitting on the bench late in the fourth.
The Bucks are dealing with a handful of injuries, and while Giannis is expected to play through his hamstring injury, Damian Lillard is out. Khris Middleton is also expected to play while dealing with an ankle injury. Doc Rivers is playing two of his top three players through injury against one of the worst NBA teams since the “process” Sixers. This screams shorter minutes from Milwaukee’s most important player.
We use the OddsShopper pick’em tool for Underdog to see going LOWER than 13.5 rebounds is beating the market price. The true odds for this play are -130 and with the implied odds at Underdog being -122, this is an edge against the market. This type of +EV approach is how we stay ahead over time!
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Giannis Antetokounmpo LOWER Than 13.5 Rebounds
Jaden McDaniels H/L Than 12.5 Points
The Minnesota Timberwolves are just 1 game out of first place atop the Western Conference. They will see if the latest Rockets loss finally cooled off a ridiculously hot Houston team. The biggest edge in this game would be the Wolves defensively limiting the Rockets, but if Houston gets out in the open, they too can force a little faster tempo.
The Rockets have slowed down some since the start of the year, despite going on a recent win streak covering nearly all of March. Stopping Jaden McDaniels from getting 13 points isn’t as difficult as it sounds – mainly from Houston’s front court. The Wolves power four isn’t going to get a ton of looks and will have to maximized anywhere from 6-8 shots.
The two times McDaniels played the Rockets he finished with 16 and most recently 5. The shot volume will be in question and he will have to shoot over 50% from the floor.
Thanks to the OddsShopper pick’em tool, we once again find a slight edge against the market. The true odds are -127 which means our implied Underdog odds of -122 present a small advantage.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Jaden McDaniels LOWER Than 12.5 Points
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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