Hard to come up with a worse night than what we had, but tonight brings a new chance at a 3x Underdog card! Tyrese Maxey burned us in OT and Patrick Beverley scored a bunch, yet with two games including a close out scenario in Boston, there’s solid value on the board. Here are your top two plays for Underdog across the NBA!
It’s a simple question at Underdog Fantasy: Choose if a player will finish higher or lower their current projection. Build anywhere from two to six legs. Here are the top two plays from Underdog — getting 3x back on a winning ticket. OddsShopper has an Underdog Fantasy optimizer tool designed to help you build winning entries
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Underdog Fantasy NBA Pick’em Predictions Today
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Dereck Lively II H/L Than 7.5 Points
The Mavericks head back to LA with the series tied 2-2 but there’s some concern with their best player not up to par. Luka Doncic is dealing with knee injury that’s clearly hindering his performance, but that doesn’t mean Dereck Lively is going to pick up that slack. The reality is Kyrie Irving, then 3-4 other guys, will take over the scoring role. The road is typically unkind to role players in the playoffs, which has also been the story for Lively.
In both road games, Lively failed to reach eight points. In turn, he cleared it in each of the last two home games. The matchup against Ivica Zubac remains mostly the same and Lively hasn’t established any dominance on the glass either. This is just a tough number for him to clear under these circumstances, against a tough team up front and on the road.
The OddsShopper pick’em tool identifies a solid 3.7% edge against the market. With implied odds at -122 on Underdog, we beat the -133 true odds by a decent margin. That’s the benefit of having a tool that pushes +EV plays against the market!
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Dereck Lively II LESS Than 7.5 Points
Ivica Zubac H/L Than 14.5 Points
The Clippers are going to need scoring help from anywhere they can manage, but mainly needing Ivica Zubac to remain hot from the floor. Carrying 15 points might seem like a large number as it’s been an even split so far for Zubac. They aren’t coming definitively at home or on the road, either.
The loss of Leonard bumps up the role players around Paul George, or at least allows a void to be filled. Unlike Lively, the Mavs might actually plan on slowing down Zubac – at least making it harder to shoot 70 percent from the floor. While he’s not going to be the center point of Dallas and their defensive adjustments, Zubac should see a tougher time scoring.
In three regular season games, Zubac was held under this total in each. He’s only cleared this twice despite seeing a missing or banged up Leonard. Don’t expect a heavy dose of shots either coming from the Clippers big man.
The OddsShopper pick’em tool gives us a small but profitable edge against the market. With implied odds at -122, we beat the true odds of -126, for a 1.5% EV edge. That’s enough to profit over time and is a solid play tonight.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Ivica Zubac LESS Than 14.5 Points
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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