After taking the night off to make way for the NCAA National Championship game, the NBA returns with 14 games to jam the slate. We have some teams with absolutely nothing to play for except the role of spoiler, with others needing wins down the final stretch of the regular season. Rotations can be crazy at this point of the year, so let’s rely on our detailed tools on OddsShopper to help find some value! Here are the top two plays on Underdog for Tuesday, April 9th!
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It’s a simple question at Underdog Fantasy: choose if a player will finish higher or lower their current projection. Build anywhere from two to six legs. Here are the top two plays from Underdog — getting 3x back on a winning ticket. OddsShopper has an Underdog Fantasy optimizer tool designed to help you build winning cards
Underdog Fantasy NBA Pick’em Predictions Today
Jordan Poole H/L Than 6.5 Assists
There’s nothing left for the Wizards at this point of the season. Their unfortunate tail spin should continue tonight against the host Timberwolves team – the same one tied with the Nuggets for the top seed out West. The same Wolves team with the Thunder just one game back atop the standings. To say Minnesota needs this game is an understatement. Jordan Poole comes off a 12 dime game, averaging nearly 10 in four games played so far this month.
Tonight’s total on Underdog better represents Poole’s assist average over the month of March, rather than this recent spike seen over just four games. What’s interesting about this play is the injury status of Poole’s teammate Kyle Kuzma – questionable right now with an ankle injury. If Kuzma is out, that’s a loss of a significant scorer who will play similar minutes with Poole, and would hurt his chances of getting 7 assists.
More so than just Kuzma’s ankle is the defensive prowess of the Wolves. Minnesota will be relentless when needed tonight, slowing it down and causing turmoil when the Wizards have. the ball. Hard to think with so much at stake there will be much letdown for Minny. The OddsShopper pick’em tool identified the true market price of LOWER than 7.5 rebounds at -133. This beats the implied odds of -122 which provides a great edge against the market.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Jordan Poole LOWER Than 6.5 Assists
Jusuf Nurkic H/L Than 11.5 Rebounds
Despite having the same record the Suns are on the right side of the seeding, holding the 6 seed over the Pelicans. Another example of a team that desperately needs a win tonight. Unlike the Wolves, Phoenix will host another team looking to solidify their seeding in the LA Clippers.
Jusuf Nurkic is charged with grabbing 12 boards against the Clippers to hit the HIGHER side of this play. It’s going to be easier to play the other side with this matchup. It’s not so much that Ivica Zubac will shut down Nurk, but the Clippers have significantly limited the Suns big man.
In just two games this year against the Clips, Nurkic was held to 3 and 6 rebounds. Not a great sign in a game that both teams need, grinding the pace down to more of a playoff feel. We like the LOWER play here and it’s backed by our pick’em tool.
The edge comes in taking a play with implied odds of -122 against the -131 market price. Based on our detailed algorithm, we have identified this 3% EV edge over the market.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Jusuf Nurkic LOWER Than 11.5 Rebounds
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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