Tuesday in the NBA features just five games on the slate, but they should provide plenty of value. Today, we’ll look to find the best picks at Underdog Fantasy for their pick’em contests while using OddsShopper’s optimizer tool. With each of the five games carrying a spread north of seven points, there’s blowout potential looming throughout the night. The lone primetime game features a 7.5-point road-favorite Denver team in Minnesota. Looking for more NBA pick’em advice? Check out the rest of our NBA articles or our NBA pick’em tools. You can also read our guide to Underdog Fantasy.
It’s a simple question at Underdog Fantasy: choose if a player will finish higher or lower their current projection. Build anywhere from two to six legs. Here are the top two plays from Underdog — getting 3x back on a winning ticket. OddsShopper has an Underdog Fantasy optimizer tool designed to help you build winning cards that you can access for just $1 this week with promo code “PURDUE”.
Underdog Fantasy NBA Pick’em Predictions Today
Miles Bridges H/L 7.5 Rebounds
The Hornets aren’t pulling out of this tailspin anytime soon, as they’re close to a 14-point dog in Orlando. The Magic present a tougher matchup up front for Bridges, especially compared to the 76ers and Suns. Bridges may have had his way with the previous two opponents but should regress in a blowout with a slower tempo against a stronger frontcourt. He just played the Magic on March 5 and got pushed around, reeling in only three rebounds in 36 minutes.
OddsShopper weighs the implied price of -122 at Underdog Fantasy against the true odds of -127, highlighting a small edge at the pick’em site. By attacking this spot, which should be part of any +EV process, we can take advantage of Underdog Fantasy against the betting market. Bridges’ number is still attackable even at 7.5, so go LOWER!
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Miles Bridges LESS Than 7.5 Rebounds
Zion Williamson H/L 24.5 Points
Not to be outdone by the upstart Oklahoma City Thunder or the surprise Minnesota Timberwolves, the New Orleans Pelicans are just six games out of the Western lead. Looking for their third straight victory, they currently sit as an 8-point road favorite in Brooklyn. This number is simply too high for Zion Williamson.
While Williamson has certainly fueled the Pelicans’ ability to win six of their last seven games, tonight sets up a solid chance for fewer minutes, and less chance to hit 25 points. With the easiest pathway being an early blowout, where Williamson and other starters see their minutes cut in the rotation.
As wide as the talent gap is, the Nets may catch New Orleans sleeping on the first of a four-game road trip, especially with their next game against the Orlando Magic. Williamson has recently scored significantly higher than his average and should regress with fewer chances to score, especially in blowout mode.
Thanks to OddsShopper, we see the pick’em tool identify a slight edge against the market. The implied price of -122 is beating the true odds of -126, making the LOWER choice a +EV play.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Zion Williamson LOWER Than 25.5 Points
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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