Don’t start laying all your money on March Madness now — there’s still some NBA player prop value to be found. We are going to dive into the Pelicans-Nets player prop odds to identify the best bet for Tuesday’s game, targeting Zion Williamson. If you’re seeking some more action, check out the rest of our NBA player prop picks, our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos. Also, you can always check out Isaiah Sirois’ guide to NBA player prop betting as well!
Zion Williamson Player Prop: Best Pelicans-Nets Bet Today
Pelicans-Nets Player Prop: Zion Williamson O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Truly, madly, deeply, this is some savage (garden) value. For reference, Pinnacle is the sharp book in OddsShopper’s model, and it has Williamson under 6.5 rebounds at -120. Giving the over plus money at all, let alone +110, is bonkers — OddsShopper has the True Odds at -108, for further reference.
Caesars Sportsbook is the other viable option since it has this bet at +102. Plus, Caesars has a bit wider availability than bet365. But bet365 is now live in 10 states, so there is a pretty solid chance you can snag this bet at +110 (and you should if you can).
In case you hadn’t heard, Williamson is a point guard now — not like Nikola Jokic where he’s a big but he makes a lot of great passes from close to the basket — no, Williamson is, like, bringing the ball up and initiating from up top. As a result, his rebounding is all over the place of late. Yes, there are some double-digit games, but there are also three-board nights thrown in — literally anything is possible in that column of Williamson’s box score.
So eff it — if we’re getting plus money, may as well hammer the under, no? We always say that win expectancies over 50% are going to be +EV when they’re plus odds, and that’s what we have here.
The No. 1 play on the board is what we’re talking about: 52% expected win rate at +110 at bet365. That leads to an under that’s a slate-high 8.8% +EV. Book it.
Pelicans-Nets Player Prop: Zion Williamson Under 6.5 Rebounds (+110 at bet365)
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