We are just two weeks away from Omaha. This weekend brings us the Super Regional round, in which teams will compete in a best-of-three series for college baseball’s equivalent of the Sweet 16. A few big-name programs have bowed out, with LSU (+900 last week), Arkansas (+1000) and Wake Forest (+1200) all down for the count, leading to significant movement in the college baseball odds. Without further ado, let’s dive into the 2024 College World Series odds powered by DraftKings Sportsbook.
College World Series Odds Update After Regionals: Bye, Arkansas!
College Baseball Odds for the 2024 College World Series
2024 College World Series Odds
| Team | Odds (5/13) | Odds (5/28) | Odds (6/04) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | +750 | +600 | +300 |
| Texas A&M | +500 | +500 | +310 |
| FSU | +1500 | +1800 | +550 |
| UNC | +2200 | +1500 | +650 |
| Virginia | +3000 | +2500 | +800 |
| Kentucky | +2000 | +1000 | +800 |
| Clemson | +1200 | +1300 | +1100 |
| Georgia | +3000 | +2200 | +1200 |
| Oregon St | +1500 | +1500 | +1500 |
| NC State | N/A | +3500 | +1800 |
| Florida | N/A | +4000 | +2000 |
| Oregon | N/A | N/A | +4500 |
| WVU | N/A | N/A | +6500 |
| K-State | N/A | N/A | +7500 |
| UConn | N/A | N/A | +10000 |
| Evansville | N/A | N/A | +30000 |
College Baseball Odds Analysis
No. 1 Tennessee: +300 at DraftKings
The Tennessee Volunteers won the lottery. Despite their Supers matchup being expected to be the winner of East Carolina and Wake Forest, two teams with oodles of talent and top-20 rankings in the RPI, they’ll get Evansville (No. 63).
Evansville is red-hot, winning the Missouri Valley Conference tournament and the Greenville Regional, but the Cinderella team will be overmatched by the Vols, giving Tennessee a much easier path to Omaha.
No. 2 Texas A&M: +310 at DraftKings
Like Tennessee, Texas A&M benefited from the outcome of Regionals. Instead of facing either San Diego (No. 23 in the RPI) or UC Santa Barbara (No. 13), the Aggies will get Oregon (No. 39).
The books also expect Texas A&M to get to Omaha this year, and they wouldn’t have to run into Tennessee until the finals.
That said, with all but two host teams advancing on Texas A&M’s side of the bracket but just four advancing on the other, the Aggies have a much tougher potential pool in Omaha.
No. 3 Florida State: +550 at DraftKings
Who saw the Seminoles coming in this hot? I wrote about why they were a great value at +1800 last week and am kicking myself for not adding them to my card.
The ‘Noles raised their implied odds to win the College World Series from 5.3% to 15.4% after outlasting Alabama, Stetson and UCF in Regionals — and after UConn (No. 32) somehow advanced over Oklahoma and Duke.
Of course, Florida State is on Tennessee’s side of the bracket, so things will get tricky in Omaha. However, their matchup in Supers is so slanted that DraftKings is giving Florida State better odds to advance than Texas A&M.
No. 4 North Carolina: +650 at DraftKings
Like Florida State, North Carolina’s odds moved substantially after Regionals, with their implied odds of winning the College World Series tightening from 6.3% to 13.3%. Unlike Florida State, North Carolina didn’t even have the best College World Series odds in its Regional — that was now-eliminated LSU.
The Tar Heels are the third of four teams discussed so far on Tennessee’s side of the bracket, but that isn’t all that surprising since only four hosts advanced, and none of them will face each other in Supers.
UNC gets arguably the strongest non-host team in West Virginia (No. 29) in Supers as well. The Mountaineers played a good chunk of their season without superstar slugger J.J. Wetherholt, and their Saturday starter, Derek Clark, missed several weeks as well. If you tailed my ticket for West Virginia to get to Omaha (+2100 in February), now’s a great time to hedge.
No. 5 Kentucky: +800 at DraftKings
The next-best team in oddsmakers’ eyes is Kentucky, with Virginia (+800) also occupying this spot. Still, Virginia is the fourth host from Tennessee’s side of the bracket, so it’s another buy-high situation for the Cavaliers.
The Wildcats swept the Lexington Regional this weekend, and while I’m still somewhat skeptical of them despite the fact they’re No. 2 in the RPI due to their not-so-impressive statistical profile (.906 OPS and 5.11 ERA aren’t that scary).
Their matchup with Oregon State in Supers is one of just two host-on-host pairings this year, the other being NC State and Georgia, which also falls on Texas A&M’s side of the bracket.
