In some fun mid-week Sun Belt action, the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will visit the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Coastal is off to an awful start to conference play, but App State has won its lone conference game to date. Every week, I’ll post my top college football picks by Monday and provide an update before each game — you can check out all of my college football Week 7 picks here. Let’s dig into today’s Coastal Carolina-Appalachian State odds as we make our predictions and pick the best college football Week 7 bet!
Coastal Carolina-Appalachian State Pick & Betting Prediction | College Football Week 7
Coastal Carolina-Appalachian State Betting Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Coastal: +190 | App State: -235
Coastal +5.5: -110 | App State -5.5: -110
Over 61.5: -110 | Under 61.5: -110
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time: Tuesday, Oct. 10 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Coastal Carolina-Appalachian State Pick & Prediction
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers head north to Boone for a date with the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Although App State lost its starting quarterback Ryan Burger to an injury in Week 1, backup Joey Aguilar has looked impressive ever since. It’s unclear whether App State will trust the hot hand in Aguilar on Tuesday, as Burger has since returned to practice, but they should have a sizeable leg up on the Chants regardless of who starts. Aguilar has completed 58.3% of his passes for 6.9 yards per attempt and a passing efficiency grade of 127.6. His lone home start saw him earn a grade of 155.7 against East Carolina.
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The Chants have looked awful under new head coach Tim Beck. Grayson McCall, who remains the single-season record holder in passing efficiency, just played the worst game of his career in his last start. He threw a career-high four interceptions in a road game against Georgia Southern, completing only 56.4% of his throws for 7.7 yards per pass attempt and a passing efficiency grade of 108.8. McCall already has six interceptions this year, nearly double the eight he had amassed in three prior seasons as Coastal’s starter. The Chants are winless in Sun Belt play, and the books expect them to remain winless — at least this week.
Coastal and Beck have become overly reliant upon McCall. Before, when Jamey Chadwell was still in town, the Chants had an effective passing game because opposing teams had to respect the run. Coastal ran 57% of the time last year, but this year, they’re running just 45% of the time. Worse, when they do run, they’re averaging only 3.6 yards per attempt. They’ll now have to face an App State defense that ranks 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.4). Coastal couldn’t beat Sun Belt defenses that were giving up 7.5-plus yards per pass attempt with Beck’s scheme, so I don’t expect them to suddenly turn things around against a better unit.
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I recommended buying App State to win this one outright as part of a five-team, two-pick round-robin bet. You can still lock that one in as of Tuesday afternoon, and for more information on the teams in question, check out the early week column. For those looking to just get action down on this game straight, you’re probably best off playing the App State moneyline and the over 48.5 combo parlay at BetMGM for odds of -120. The same wager isn’t available at DraftKings or FanDuel, whose lowest alternate total is just 55.5. These teams have combined to average 56.3 points scored and 60.3 points allowed per game thus far.
Coastal Carolina-Appalachian State Week 7 Pick: App State ML/Over 48.5 -120 at BetMGM
OddsShopper College Football Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2023 college football predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this college football season — make sure to check out the rest of our college football articles, including our best bets for Week 7. If you still need more picks, our market-based betting model might just be for you — you can even try it out now!
