The Georgia Bulldogs and TCU Horned Frogs will square off in the College Football National Championship game on Monday night. The sportsbooks expect Georgia to dominate, as they are 13-point favorites for the matchup, but the public has backed TCU en masse. The public betting splits reveal that tonight’s Georgia-TCU matchup falls into the classic “Pros vs. Joes” archetype, and bettors eager to fade the public have until kickoff to get their action down.
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College Football Public Betting Splits | TCU-Georgia
Sharps Backing Georgia | College Football National Championship Public Betting Splits
The TCU Horned Frogs have pulled off some improbably comebacks and wild upsets this season. The Frogs upset Oklahoma, Texas and Michigan as underdogs. They nearly lost to Texas Tech, Kansas State and Oklahoma State in the regular season but did just enough in the clutch to emerge victorious. Now the public expects them to do it again.
According to VSiN, which indexes bets placed at DraftKings Sportsbook, 66% of the bets have come in on TCU to cover — but only 44% of the cash! That means Georgia has drawn 56% of the handle on only 34% of the tickets. Further, 68% of the moneyline bets have come on TCU, a rarity for a double-digit underdog, Since the books haven’t adjusted this line much, it’s safe to conclude that most of the money on Georgia has been sharp action.
Bettors who are eager to fade the public and tail the sharps should head to DraftKings for the best deal on the market. Georgia is only a 13-point favorite there as opposed to a 13.5-point favorite elsewhere. Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has the line at 13 but with the juice stacked on Georgia. The same isn’t the case at DraftKings, where new users can even secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager.
Public Spammed the Over | College Football National Championship Public Betting Splits
The betting total for Monday night’s action sits at a lofty 63.5. Most books opened that number opened at 62.5. Pinnacle still has tonight’s total set to that number. Overs tend to be popular with the betting public, and the college football public betting splits reveal that tonight’s TCU-Georgia matchup is no exception.
VSiN reports that 75% of bets placed at DraftKings have come in on the over — yet only 52% of the handle is on that side of the total. Pregame reports that 73% of the tickets and 60% of the handle have come in on the over. The betting splits and the lack of line movement suggest bettors should get contrarian and back the under.
Those eager to fade the public can still buy the 63.5 at DraftKings — for now. Caesars has the total set to 63, while FanDuel has it at 62.5. This number could get steamed down as limits increase before kickoff, so bettors should get their action down quickly. DraftKings is even offering a profit boost of up to 100% for wagers placed on tonight’s game to all users!
