Categories NCAAF

Free Expert College Football Pick: Georgia State of Mind?

What’s up, everybody? Happy Saturday, November 16th! The sports world is packed today, with action from college football, college basketball, MMA, NBA, and more. We’re diving into the slate to break down the best bet of the day. In this post, based off a video by the immortal Ben Rasa, we’ll be providing a free expert college football pick.

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Recapping Ben’s Most Recent Free Expert College Football Pick: Washington Huskies Covered the Spread

Before we get into today’s pick, let’s quickly recap yesterday. Ben called the Washington Huskies as a strong play, and they delivered. Despite some late-game drama, they covered the spread with room to spare. Hopefully, you’ve been riding along this week as we (cough, Ben) continue to build momentum!


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Best Bet of the Day: Georgia -9.5 (-110)

Now, onto today’s featured pick: Georgia -9.5, available at Caesars and FanDuel. Let’s dive into the key points for this matchup against Tennessee.

1. Tennessee’s Freshman QB Challenge

Tennessee quarterback Nico Iamaleava is a talented freshman. While it’s confirmed he’s good to go, this spot looks tough. Georgia’s defense is primed to wreak havoc, and even with Nico in the lineup, Tennessee faces an uphill battle.

2. Georgia’s Get-Right Spot

Georgia hasn’t played a home game in over a month, navigating a brutal stretch on the road. At 7-2, the Bulldogs’ margin for error is razor-thin, making this a critical “get-right” game. They’ve been battle-tested, and now, back home, they’re ready to assert dominance.

3. Key Metrics Favor Georgia

Georgia has struggled with turnovers and penalties—ranking 103rd in turnover margin and 101st in penalty yards—but they remain strong in other areas, including yards per play and opponent passing defense. With a healthier roster, especially on defense, this is a prime opportunity to clean up their mistakes and control the game.

4. Tennessee’s Road Woes

Tennessee has benefited from a soft SEC schedule and four straight home games. Now, hitting the road in a hostile environment, they face a Georgia team ready to feed off the crowd and make life difficult for the Vols’ freshman QB.


Why Georgia Covers

This game feels reminiscent of Georgia’s trip to Texas earlier this season, where they delivered their best performance of the year. Expect them to pressure Nico, force mistakes, and dominate in the trenches. Georgia by double digits feels like the call here.


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Joseph Nardone

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Joseph Nardone

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